Khamenei defends Iran’s regional strategy, vows to reclaim Syria
Iranian women hold posters of Lebanon's late Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah during a meeting ahead of the fifth anniversary of Iran's slain Revolutionary Guards commander Qasem Soleimani, killed in a US strike in Baghdad, in Tehran, Iran, January 1, 2025.
Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei defended Iran's involvement in Syria's civil war and his policy of power projection in the region, dismissing criticism of the country’s diminishing influence in the Middle East.
“Some people, due to a lack of proper analysis and understanding, claim that with the recent events in the region, the blood shed in defense of the shrine was wasted,” Khamenei said in a Wednesday ceremony to mark the fifth anniversary of the death of former Revolutionary Guards Quds Force commander Qasem Soleimani.
He was Iran’s most influential figure in coordinating armed allied groups in the region and was killed by the US in Iraq in 2020.
“They are making this grave mistake; the blood was not wasted,” Khamenei continued.
The defense of the shrine refers to a narrative promoted by Iran as a reason for its military presence in Syria and Iraq. This concept centers around the protection of Shi’a Islamic holy sites, particularly the Shrine of Sayyida Zainab in Damascus, Syria. Sayyida Zainab was the granddaughter of Prophet Muhammad. However, following the October 7 Hamas attack on Israel, Khamenei’s rhetoric expanded beyond shrine defense, openly advocating an all-out war against Israel.
The comments by Khamenei follow a series of regional setbacks for Iran in 2024, as its network of proxy and allied groups faced regular Israeli countermeasures.
Hamas's military power has been almost completely diminished by Israel. Israel has also intensified its campaign against Hezbollah with precise airstrikes, covert operations, and intelligence-led targeting of the group's assets in Lebanon and Syria. These actions aim to degrade Hezbollah’s capabilities, disrupt its supply lines, and prevent the transfer of advanced weapons from Iran.
In Yemen, the Houthis encountered resistance from local factions, and devastating air attacks by Israel, the US and UK. These setbacks underscore the diminishing reach of Iran’s “axis of resistance,” a strategy central to Khamenei’s regional ambitions.
In Syria, a key pillar of Iran’s influence, the Assad government fell after 13 years of Iranian support. Since the Syrian Civil War began in 2011, Iran has heavily invested in preserving Assad’s government, seeing it as vital for maintaining access to Hezbollah and projecting power across the Levant. The loss of Assad unraveled these investments and severed Iran’s land corridor to Lebanon, undermining its ability to supply Hezbollah with arms.
In a veiled reference to Syria's new strongman Ahmad al-Sharaa, Khamenei said: “Do not be deceived by this false show; those who are strutting around today will one day be trampled under the feet of the faithful. Those who have encroached on the land of the Syrian people will one day be forced to retreat in the face of the power of Syria's youth.”
This marks the third time Khamenei has promised to reclaim Syria from its new rulers. On December 11 and 23, he made similar vows, encouraging Syrian youth to resist Assad’s successors.
He also described Houthis and Hezbollah as symbols of resistance, adding that they would ultimately prevail. Without naming specific countries, he criticized certain nations for “sidelining their faithful youth,” whom he called “pillars of stability and strength,” warning that they risk facing Syria’s fate.
Iran International analyst Morad Veisi suggested that Khamenei’s rhetoric reflects a refusal to accept regional realities. “Rather than acknowledging his mistakes, he attempts to reshape facts to align with his vision,” Veisi said, adding that this approach has drained Iran’s resources and alienated its neighbors.
These remarks coincide with admissions by Hezbollah’s Secretary-General Naim Qassem, who acknowledged that Assad’s fall has disrupted the group’s primary supply route through Syria. Meanwhile, The New York Times reported that Assad’s downfall has caused confusion among Iranian officials.
Khamenei also praised Soleimani, saying that he utilized the potential of the region's youth to revive the Resistance Front. However, his statements contrasted with a prior speech in which he denied that Iran operates proxy forces in the region.
As Iran’s influence wanes and its regional allies face mounting challenges, Khamenei’s insistence on reclaiming Syria underscores the strain on the Islamic Republic’s strategy.
Iran witnessed a stark rise in executions this year, with at least 930 death sentences carried out, according to the Washington-based Abdorrahman Boroumand Center for Human Rights in Iran.
The figure for years 2023 and 2022 were 811 and 579 respectively, which shows an alarming upward trend.
“The international community must adopt a unified, consistent, transparent and effective response to protect those targeted and hold Iran, and other countries following its example, accountable,” read the report by Boroumand center on Tuesday.
Many death sentences are drug-related and are handed and carried out with relative ease, sparking criticism from human rights organizations that suggest the rise in executions may aim to intimidate the populace amid ongoing unrest.
Prominent voices have called for urgent international action. Nobel Peace Prize laureate Narges Mohammadi, in an open letter to UN Secretary-General António Guterres, urged the global body to demand that Iran halt its mass executions as a condition for any negotiations.
The cases of individuals executed on charges of political dissent have drawn particular scrutiny.
In August, Iran executed Reza Rasaei, arrested during the 2022 Woman, Life, Freedom protests, for allegedly murdering an intelligence officer. In October, Iranian-German dual national Jamshid Sharmahd was executed following a trial Amnesty International denounced as grossly unfair.
As 2024 concludes, Iran’s judicial practices remain under close scrutiny from the international community, which continues to advocate for accountability and the protection of fundamental rights.
Record number of Iranians left the country in 2024 to study abroad as the country's youth lose hope in change, according to a report carried by Iran's official news agency IRNA.
The number of Iranian students in the ten main destinations has almost doubled in four years, from 60,000 to 110,000, reflecting the nation's ongoing economic woes.
In previous decades, the number of Iranians studying abroad doubled every ten years.
"This trend is not just about education but reflects broader socio-economic factors pushing skilled individuals out of the country,” IRNA quoted migration analyst Bahram Salavati saying.
“In addition to surpassing the critical threshold of 100,000 Iranian students abroad, the list of primary destinations and the growth rates in these countries are particularly striking,” Salavati added.
Turkey has emerged as the leading destination, hosting nearly 30,000 Iranian students in 2024,a staggering 158% increase since 2020. Turkey's proximity is a key factor. It's also cheaper and easier to enter compared to most Western countries.
Other popular destinations for Iranian students include Canada, Germany, Italy, and the United States.
The sharp rise in student migration is closely tied to the worsening of living conditions and shows no sign of slowing despite repeated calls and warnings by Iranian officials.
The latest came from Iran's vice president Mohammad Reza Aref, who asked Iranian professionals overseas to return. "Iran is your homeland and home, and we welcome you to serve your country in the fields of science and technology," Aref said on Tuesday.
Iran’s migration policies remain heavily focused on managing inbound refugees, such as Afghan nationals, and little appears to be done beyond words to control the "brain-drain" or incentivize returns.
In 2022, the Iran Migration Observatory (IMO) reported that the country ranked 17th globally for students studying abroad. With the trend showing no signs of slowing, analysts warn that Iran’s economic and social stability could face even greater challenges without urgent intervention.
Fatemeh Mousavi, a sociologist and social researcher, said the exodus shows a lack of faith in Iran's trajectory among its youth.
“The 140% increase in the migration of young professionals in the past year alone can be seen as an exit strategy resulting from the loss of hope in change and reform in the government,” Mousavi told the Tehran-based outlet Khabar Online.
Protests swept through several Iranian cities on Tuesday, with workers and retirees demanding fair wages, better working conditions, and payment of overdue salaries.
Employees of Fajr Jam Gas Refinery, continuing a month-long series of protests, gathered in front of their administration building in Asaluyeh, southern Iran, to demand action on their grievances.
Contract workers at Gachsaran Oil and Gas Company, a subsidiary of National Iranian South Oil Company (NISOC), staged a protest over unfair wages, job security concerns, and livelihood issues, accusing Iran’s oil and gas sector of discriminatory practices
Drivers from Ahwaz Rolling & Pipe Mills Co. (ARPCO) in southern Iran took to the streets to protest unpaid wages and recent dismissals.
Nearly 150 welders at Tehran Refinery were fired last week with 15 representatives of oil contract workers facing dismissal for protesting unpaid wages and demanding better conditions.
In Ilam, western Iran, Ministry of Agriculture staff held a demonstration to protest low wages and livelihood challenges.
Retired educators staged protests in several cities, gathering in front of provincial governor’s offices in Shiraz (southern Iran), Kermanshah (western Iran), and Gorgan (northern Iran), demanding overdue pension benefits.
Retirees protest outside the Governorate building in Shiraz, 31 December 2024.
The growing wave of demonstrations reflects increasing frustration among various labor groups and retirees, whose repeated calls for justice and fair treatment have gone unheeded.
Earlier over the weekend, business owners and employees in Tehran’s historic bazaar also staged a rare strike against runaway inflation and soaring foreign currency rates, spurring protests in other commercial hubs in the capital.
Iranian workers are facing an increasingly difficult situation as the statutory wage, which once covered half of basic living expenses, now barely covers a quarter of the costs.
Iran's IRGC and judiciary chief warned against potential unrest last week, as Iran’s economic and energy crises intensify.
Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian said on Tuesday that 20 to 30 million liters of fuel are smuggled out of the country daily, calling it a catastrophe amid the country's energy crisis.
"This level of smuggling when [fuel] production and distribution are in our own hands is absolutely unacceptable," he said.
"With this amount of fuel smuggling, will the public accept that we cut off gas and electricity to the industrial [sector] to manage energy consumption?" Pezeshkian added.
Pezeshkian did not specify the destinations for the smuggled fuel, but fuel smuggling in Iran often involves routes to neighboring countries where fuel prices are significantly higher.
Earlier this month, Reuters reported, citing informed sources, that a sophisticated fuel oil smuggling network generating at least $1 billion a year for Iran and its proxies has flourished in Iraq since Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani took office in 2022.
US officials raised the need to prevent Iran's resurgence in Syria during talks with interim authorities in Damascus, according to the US Embassy in Syria.
The discussions also addressed maintaining the fight against ISIS, protecting US citizens, and investigating the fate of disappeared Americans, while emphasizing an inclusive political process that represents all Syrians.
The new leader, a former member of Al Qaeda, has made no secret of his pleasure at reducing the influence of Iran in Syria, saying that since the fall of Assad, Syria's opposition had “set the Iranian project in the region back by 40 years”.
Last week, the Arab League bloc of nations called on Iran not to sow discord in Syria following the ouster of President Bashar al-Assad, a long-time ally of Tehran.