Letter from Iran Prison: 'We Remember the Reformists' Betrayal'

In an interview with Russian newspaper Izvestia, the International Atomic Energy Agency Director General Rafael Grossi said: “Nobody applies it, nobody follows it. There have been attempts to revive it here in Vienna. But unfortunately, although they were relatively close to success, they failed for reasons unknown to me, because I was not involved in the process.”

The statement comes just weeks after Grossi admitted the agency "has lost continuity of knowledge in relation to the production centrifuges, rotors and bellows, heavy water, and uranium.” He recently also admitted that Iran is “weeks not months” away from a nuclear weapon, with enrichment reaching alarming levels.

He said “the parties mutually blame each other for the failure - mainly the United States and Iran”, referencing the breakdown in progress since the US withdrew from the nuclear agreement under former President Donald Trump.

“ I continue to tell my Iranian colleagues that we must provide the agency with at least minimal access to help return to the second version of the JCPOA or any other agreement,” he stressed, but noted it is not an easy road to deal with Tehran.

“There are problems, I’ll be honest with you. We do cooperate with Iran. I don't deny this. This is important for inspection. My Iranian colleagues often say that Iran is the most inspected country in the world. Well, it is, and for good reason. But this is not enough,” he warned.

On Saturday, France, Germany, and Britain, original signatories of the 2015 nuclear deal with Iran, condemned Tehran’s latest actions to further expand its uranium enrichment.

"Iran has taken further steps in hollowing out the JCPOA, by operating dozens of additional advanced centrifuges at the Natanz enrichment site as well as announcing it will install thousands more centrifuges at both its Fordow and Natanz sites," the joint statement said.

During the interview with Izvestia, Grossi also highlighted the importance of Russia's collaboration with Iran, as Moscow "can influence compliance with a peaceful nuclear order”, the two nations firm allies in the field of military cooperation. Iran has been providing Russia with drones for its war on Ukraine, with manufacturing facilities for Russia being built with Iranian assistance.

“I think this is our shared responsibility. And Russia plays a very important role in this diplomacy, trying to keep the Iranian program within a predictable and peaceful framework,” he noted, reiterating that “if we cannot verify everything, we cannot give the guarantees that the international community expects from us.”

Grossi added that since signing the agreement in 2015, Iran’s program “has expanded significantly”. He said: “They are capable of producing the latest generation centrifuges, building new facilities and much more.”

Iran’s nuclear chief insists the country is adhering to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) agreements, but is “in the process of reducing its nuclear obligations from the 2015 agreement." Mohammad Eslami maintained Tehran is still following the NPT Safeguards Agreement and is only reducing the obligations it had under the 2015 nuclear deal, known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA).

Iran has responded to an IAEA Board of Governors’ censure resolution, passed in early June, by expanding its uranium enrichment capacity at two underground sites.Iran has rapidly installed two more cascades, or clusters, of uranium-enriching centrifuges at its Fordow site and begun work on more while also planning others at its underground plant at Natanz, a UN nuclear watchdog report said.

"On 9 and 10 June ... Iran informed the Agency that eight cascades each containing 174 IR-6 centrifuges would be installed over the next 3-4 weeks in Unit 1 of FFEP (Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant)," the confidential International Atomic Energy Agency report sent to member states on Thursday said.

"On 11 June 2024, the Agency verified at FFEP that Iran had completed the installation of IR-6 centrifuges in two cascades in Unit 1. Installation of IR-6 centrifuges in four additional cascades was ongoing," the report said, referring to one of one of Iran's most advanced centrifuge models.

While non-binding, resolutions by the International Atomic Energy Agency's 35-nation Board of Governors anger Tehran, which typically responds by accelerating its nuclear activities.

Admitting that Iran's uranium enrichment continues to intensify, Grossi said, "We know that Iran is considering a number of activities which require construction of new facilities, installing new cascades, among other things". In the Monday press conference, Grossi stressed the severity of the situation as the program continues unabated. "They should be informing us of these changes," he said.

Grossi pointed out that it has been over three years since Iran ceased applying its Additional Protocol, restricting the IAEA’s ability to perform comprehensive inspections. "There has been no progress in resolving the outstanding safeguards issues," he stated, mentioning unresolved queries regarding traces of uranium found at undeclared sites in Varamin and Turquzabad.

On Saturday, ahead of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Board of Governors meeting, Iran issued a warning regarding a possible censure resolution. Ali Shamkhani, a senior aide to Iran's Supreme Leader and reported head of Iran's nuclear negotiations, declared that Iran would deliver a "serious and effective response" if European countries advanced a resolution criticizing its nuclear program.

Deputy mayor Majid Bagheri praised the payment as "unprecedented support for colleagues' livelihood," during the intense campaigning by presidential candidates for the snap election on June 28, triggered by the unexpected death of President Ebrahim Raisi.

However the action is seen simply as a financial reward to sway votes for the June 28 presidential election.

In reality, it will make little difference to the 140,000 employees who will receive $400 at a time when one third or more of Iranians now live below the poverty line. But the amount is substantial for most employees who make around $200 a month.

Bagheri emphasized the historic nature of the piecemeal salary reform within the municipality, marking it as a first in its history while many in the city are facing record levels of unemployment.

Zakani earlier sparked controversy by appointing his deputy for financial affairs, Lotfollah Forouzandeh, as the head of his campaign team.

Despite such moves and various promises from the six contenders in the race, voter turnout is expected to remain low, mirroring the dismal participation seen in the last parliamentary elections in March.

The public's growing skepticism towards political promises and the effectiveness of such pre-election strategies are telling of the broader discontent and political fatigue among the electorate.

Nearly all of the official and unofficial polls are about the election chances of the other three: Majles Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, Member of Parliament Massoud Pezeshkian and former nuclear negotiator Saeed Jalili.

Hadline lawmaker Amir Hossein Sabeti mentioned the results of a poll last week by an undisclosed government agency in a post on the social media platform X. This poll has shown that ultraconservative Jalili has a 23 percent chance to get elected as Iran's next President while Ghalibaf has a 21 percent and Pezeshkian has a 13 percent chance.

Meanwhile, a poll conducted by Iranian journalist Maryam Shokrani on her Instagram page, among a statistical sample of 3,374 users, some 88 percent of Instagram users have said that they are not going to vote in the presidential election.

Another poll she conducted on her X account with a sample of 6,433 users, some 73.99 percent have said they are not going to vote. These results are close to the figure that has leaked from the incumbent government, a legacy of former President Ebrahim Raisi's administration which puts the number of those who say they are not willing to vote at a sharp 80 percent.

Government polling agencies in Iran include those that belong to the Culture Ministry, Intelligence Ministry, Interior Ministry, the state television and major government-owned news agencies such as IRNA and ISNA. Results are usually confidential and not released to the public unless politically expedient.

Some social media users have questioned the validity of the poll about the chances of the three candidates. One wrote a long series of 16 posts on X to prove that between Jalili and Ghalibaf, the former has a chance of more than 80 percent to be the forerunner.

The Iranian press have their own ways of assessing the candidates' chances while being cautious about revealing what they know. The government has been arresting journalists and harassing the media, pressuring them to report a welcoming but otherwise uneventful election. Authorities seem wary of any reports that convey a sense of competition or the extent of support for individual candidates.

At the same time, the smear campaigns previously seen in Iranian media during past elections have now shifted to social media. Users, writing under aliases to avoid repression, are engaging in these attacks.

Meanwhile, the IRGC that has been a key player in the controversial elections since 2005, sent its spokesperson out last week to insist that the Revolutionary Guard will not interfere in the election in any way. Ramazan Sharif said that the IRGC will not take part in any activity in support or against any candidate.

However, none of those figures and statements can be relied upon. The Iranian media and politicians have proven that they have no notion of accuracy when using figures. As an example, ultraconservative candidate Jalili has said that "he is going to compensate several centuries of Iran's backwardness in a matter of a few years." Meanwhile, over the past years, he and other hardliners have regularly praised the Islamic Republic for turning Iran into an advanced country.

Social media user Darius who quoted the statement, said "One who thinks several centuries of backwardness can be compensated for in a few years, is an disillusioned and errant individual who needs to be hospitalized.

Hamid Nouri was in prison for his involvement in the 1988 massacre of thousands of Iranian political prisoners, and was released over the weekend in exchange for two Swedish citizens, one of whom was an EU diplomat accused of spying for Isreal.

The protest also highlighted the case of Ahmadreza Jalali, an Iranian-Swede who was left out of the prisoner swap and remains on death row in Iran.

Among the speakers of the rally was Jalili’s wife Vida Mehrannia who criticized Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson for agreeing to the exchange which only emboldens Iran's policy of hostage taking.

"The Swedish government has claimed that the Islamic Republic is not willing to agree to exchange Ahmadreza Jalali. How, then, was the Swedish government prepared to release a terrorist?" she questioned.

The protest in Stockholm is part of a larger wave of dissent, with many fearing that such exchanges may embolden the Iranian government in its use of hostage-taking as a diplomatic tool.

It is unknown how many dual-nationals are being held in Iran, but earlier this month it was revealed that a British-Iranian woman was the latest to have been found being held in Evin Prison on trumped up charges.

Nasrin Roshan was arrested on her way home to Britain accused of protesting against the government abroad, sentenced to three years in prison.

Just last year, the US exchanged five US-Iranians for the release of $6bn of frozen Iranian funds held in South Korea, further legitimizing Iran's policy of hostage-taking.

This year's total death toll reached 19 with temperatures forecast to reach a peak of 47 degrees.

The intense heat has had a significant impact, especially during the critical Hajj ritual of 'stoning the Devil', a period marked by several of the reported deaths.

Each year, the Hajj pilgrimage attracts approximately 1.8 million Muslims to the holy city of Mecca in Saudi Arabia.

According to Saudi's health ministry spokesman, Mohammed Al-Abdulaali, more than 2,760 pilgrims suffered from sunstroke and heat stress on Sunday alone.

In response to the annual deaths which plague the pilgrimage, Saudi authorities have introduced a variety of precautions including climate-controlled facilities and comprehensive medical support to address the health risks posed by the heat.

Last year, deaths reached as many as 240 with temperatures around 48 degrees.