UN Nuclear Chief Says Iran Deal Close, Inspectors ‘Ready To Go’
Rafael Mariano Grossi of the IAEA. March 2, 2022
Tehran and six world powers are on the verge of agreeing to revive the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, the head of the International Atomic Energy Agency said Tuesday.
In an station, Rafael Mariano Grossi welcomed Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov’s announcement that Moscow had that sanctions against Russia over Ukraine would not interfere in implementing the 2015 deal, the JCPOA (Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action).
interview with the France 24 English-language television
Contrary to claims by some US and western European officials, Grossi said “the problems that emerged in the past few days were real” as sanctions against Russia over Ukraine had cast doubt on “some of the actions and activities contemplated under the JCPOA.”
“The JCPOA is an extremely complex instrument that has a number of limitations – things that Iran shouldn’t or couldn’t do,” Grossi explained. “But at the same time, it has some incentives, some technical cooperation projects and things that could be facilitated in Iran under the inspectors of the IAEA, and carried out in cooperation mainly with China and Russia…All of a sudden, these activities of commercial nature that require buying equipment, exchanging expertise, etc appeared to be in doubt.”
The US has in recent years employed third-party sanctions against Iran, leaving open anyone dealing with Tehran to punitive US action. The IAEA would play a role monitoring a restored JCPOA, with the enhanced inspection powers under the agreement. “I hope we can have this agreement soon, and start working - my inspectors are ready to go,” Grossi maintained.
Iran's foreign minister has voiced optimism over a nuclear deal after Russia backed off from a demand to be exempted from Ukraine sanctions in trade with Iran.
“If the American side is realistic, we will finalize a good, strong, and lasting agreement with the support of all negotiating parties in Vienna,” Amir-Abdollahian said in a phone conversation with his Chinese counterpart Chinese State Councilor and Foreign Minister Wang Yi Tuesday evening.
Referring to his meeting with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov in Moscow earlier on Tuesday, Amir-Abdollahian said Russia, one of the five countries currently negotiating the revival of the 2015 nuclear deal with Iran, plays a constructive role in the talks and "remains onboard for the final agreement in Vienna.”.
Lavrov said Tuesday Russia has "written guarantees" it can carry out its work as a party to the Iran nuclear deal. "We have received written guarantees – they are included in the very text of the agreement on reviving the JCPOA, and in these texts there is a reliable defense of all the projects provided for by the JCPOA and those activities – including the linking up of our companies and specialists," Lavrov said.
The "written guarantees" have apparently been provided in the text of the final agreement being negotiated.
The Russian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Maria Zakharova said Tuesday. "The text of the upcoming agreement has been amended with the necessary additions to ensure reliable protection of all projects and areas of activity envisaged by the JCPOA - including those with the direct involvement of our specialists, as well as, for example, Russian-Iranian cooperation on the Bushehr Nuclear Power Plant - from the harmful effects of anti-Russian restrictions [imposed by] the United States and the European Union," Zakharova said in a statement Tuesday quoted by the state-owned Ria Novosti.
The US State Department spokesperson Ned Price said on Tuesday that Washington will not sanction Russian participation in nuclear projects in Iran under a revived JCPOA, but underlined that it would also not allow Russia to use the deal as an "escape hatch" to evade Ukraine-related sanctions.
Limiting the guarantees Moscow was seeking from the US to JCPOA-related cooperation with Iran appears to be a big step back from the Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov's demand who according to Tass news agency said on March 5 that Russia had asked for guarantees that US sanctions would not affect Russia's "right to free and full-fledged trading, economic, investment, military and technical cooperation."
In an interview with Iran's reformist Etemad newspaper on Monday before Amir-Abdollahian's visit to Moscow published Wednesday, the Russian ambassador to Tehran Levan Dzhagaryan emphasized that Russia wanted exemption from such sanctions in all areas, not only in relation to the JCPOA.
"We need assurance that Russia's national interests are met, including in the framework of bilateral relations with the Islamic Republic of Iran in various areas, not only in the framework of the JCPOA," Dzhagaryan told Etemad. He said Russia does not want the sanctions imposed on her to be "a serious impediment to continuation of cooperation with a friendly country" and was awaiting "written guarantees".
Washington would not sanction Russia in nuclear projects that are part of the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, A US official was quoted by Reuters As saying on Tuesday.
The official also said that the United States continues to engage with Russia on a return to the full implementation of the 2015 Iran nuclear deal
Iranian and Russia foreign ministers presented a united front at a Moscow news conference Tuesday over long-running talks to revive the 2015 Iran nuclear deal.
Iran’s Hossein Amir-Abdollahian said that the recent pause in the 11-month Vienna talks could “pave the way for the resolution of issues and the return of all parties to their nuclear deal commitments.” Amir-Abdollahian said he had invited Lavrov to visit Tehran soon.
An apparent twist was added to the talks March 5 when Lavrov said Moscow needed assurances that any sanctions against Russia over the Ukraine invasion would not impact Russia’s relations with Iran and the implementation of a revived 2015 deal, the JCPOA (Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action). There has been wide speculation as to what Lavrov meant and exactly what Moscow was seeking.
But the remarks of a US official on Tuesday show that Washington only exempted Russia in nuclear projects outlined in the JCPOA.
Russia is expected to play a central part in reimplementing the JCPOA, especially in shipping out enriched uranium currently held by Tehran above JCPOA limits. Moscow may have suspected that US third-party sanctions might target any Iranian links with Russia.
Lavrov said the future of Iranian-Russian relations was bright, especially as the Vienna talks were in the “home straight.”
‘Cannot be ignored’
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov had a different emphasis Tuesday, suggesting that Moscow and Washington may not yet have resolved Lavrov’s query over possible sanctions. Peskov told reporters that the issue remained "a topic for the continuation of talks - it is really something that is very important for us."
Peskov said sanctions against Russia "directly affect the interests of our country in the context of that deal,” and that international sanctions over Ukraine were “a new aspect that cannot be ignored, that must be taken into account."
Oil prices fell to their lowest level in three weeks Tuesday, with some analysts attributing this in part to Lavrov’s stress on Russia’s continuing commitment to the JCPOA, which when back in place could see 1 million barrels a day of Iranian oil return to the global markets. Also depressing the price was expectation of reduced demand due to the Covid-19 upsurge in China.
US Republican Senator Ted Cruz says Russian President Vladimir Putin and Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei are the major winners of the renewed deal with Iran.
In a tweet on Monday, Cruz denounced the deal that the Biden administration hopes to strike with the Islamic Republic, noting that “Biden’s foreign policy has failed in Afghanistan and Ukraine; now he is preparing to make a new catastrophic nuclear agreement with the Iranian regime”.
He emphasized that the Islamic Republic is “the same regime that chants ‘Death to America’, has killed hundreds of Americans, and conducts terrorism around the globe”.
He also shared a video of his remarks last week, saying, “In Vienna, Biden diplomats have been furiously bending over backwards to surrender to the Ayatollah (referring to Khamenei), the same Ayatollah who is a theocratic despot who regularly chants ‘Death to America’ and ‘Death to Israel’”.
“This administration wants nothing more than to give them hundreds of billions of dollars in sanctions relief, money that will inevitably be used to -- number one -- murder Americans… and number two – to develop nuclear weapons”, he said.
Iran “may be only weeks away from being able to develop a nuclear weapon”, Cruz warned, noting that “our enemies are stronger because of the weakness of this administration.
In a statement from Senate Republicansreleased on Monday, 49 Senators told the Biden Administration they oppose a revived deal as it can reduce limits on Tehran’s nuclear program.
Washington could now seek an “alternative” to the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, the State Department spokesman Ned Price said Monday.
With 11-month talks in Vienna struggling to reach agreement on reviving the 2015 deal, a complication was added March 5 when Russia foreign minister Sergei Lavrov announced Moscow wanted assurances that any sanctions over Ukraine would not affect its economic and other relations with Iran.
Price said that while “we are not at that point, and…hope not to get there,” Washington was open to “engage bilaterally [with Iran] on these pressing and urgent matters.”
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov meeting with visiting Iranian foreign minister on Tuesday said US suggestions that Moscow was blocking efforts to revive the Iran nuclear deal were untrue, following talks with his Iranian counterpart Hossein Amira-Adollahian in Moscow.
Lavrov made a surprising statement saying Russia had received written assurances from Washington that sanctions against Moscow over Ukraine would not hinder cooperation within the framework of the deal, which lifted sanctions on Tehran in return for curbs on its nuclear program.
Washington has not mentioned any assurance granted to Moscow, whether just to facilitate the implementation of a revived JCPOA or otherwise.
Rising tensions with talks paused
Tensions in the Middle East have been raised with the pausing of the Vienna JCPOA talks, leaving US ‘maximum pressure’ sanctions on Iran continuing and the expanded Iran nuclear program running.
Iran, which fired missiles Sunday at an alleged Israeli base in Erbil, northern Iraq, Sunday in retaliation for an Israeli airstrike March 7 in Damascusthat killed two Iranian soldiers. Tehran has also paused talks with Saudi Arabia after the Saudis announced the beheadings of 81 people, around half of whom the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights Michelle Bachelet said were Shia who had taken part in political protests.
Greater impunity
Price said Monday that the Iranian missile strike was “clear violations of Iraq’s sovereignty” and a taste of how Tehran might act “with far greater impunity if it were not verifiably and permanently constrained from obtaining a nuclear weapon.”
Noting that the Vienna talks over JCPOA revival had involved “complex negotiations” that could now be “something close to the finish line,” Price stressed there were still “outstanding issues… the hardest issues” left to resolve.
Added to these, Price said that there were “now some external factors that are weighing on where we are” –a reference to Lavrov’s demand that any sanctions over Ukraine should not affect JCPOA implementation, in which Russia has been expected to play a central role, especially in shipping out Iranian enriched uranium in excess of JCPOA limits.
JCPOA ‘best vehicle’
“You may have seen the statement from the E3, our French, our German, our British partners, that came out over the weekend,” Price explained. “It said, ‘Nobody should seek to exploit JCPOA negotiations to obtain assurances that are separate to the JCPOA.’ We would certainly endorse that statement.”
In stressing that Washington’s preference was for agreement in Vienna as “the best vehicle to achieve our policy objectives,” Price echoed the statement from Antony Blinken March 9 that Washington and Moscow had a common interest in limiting the Iranian nuclear program through reviving the JCPOA.
Price floating the notion of a bilateral US-Iran agreement might be an attempt to upset Moscow or disorientate Tehran. But the spokesman gave no indication as to why bilateral talks with Iran outside the Vienna process might suddenly overcome the outstanding issues that negotiators have failed to resolve in 11 months.
Iran’s foreign minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian has arrived in Moscow to hold talks with Russian officials, on Iran's nuclear issue and the Ukraine crisis.
At the start of talks on Tuesday Amir-Abdollahian expressed hopes his visit would lead to Russian support for a "good, stable and strong nuclear deal," Iran's semi-official ISNA news agency reported. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov told his Iranian counterpart that agreement on the revival of the 2015 nuclear deal known as JCPOA, was in the finishing straight.
Amir-Abdollahian’s visit was announced on Monday, days after negotiation in Vienna came to a halt after Russia made a last-minute demand. On March 5, Lavrov said that along with an agreement in Vienna Moscow should get written guarantees from Washington that sanctions imposed for the invasion fo Ukraine will not impact its relations with Tehran.
The United States and Europe have rejected the Russian demand, saying that a nuclear agreement with Iran is not related to the Ukraine crisis.
The official IRNA news website quoted the foreign minister as saying that he will also discuss the Ukraine crisis with Russian officials. On Monday, Ukrainian foreign minister Dmytro Kuleba tweeted that he has spoken with his Iranian counterpart and asked him to pass on a message to Moscow: “Russia must stop bombing civilians, commit to the ceasefire, and with draw from Ukraine.”
