A fierce battle has erupted inside Iran’s political establishment over the country’s future, with moderates urging sweeping reforms and hardliners branding their proposals a thinly veiled bid for regime change.
The dispute was set off on August 15 when former foreign minister Mohammad Javad Zarif published an essay in Foreign Policy titled “The Time for a Paradigm Shift Is Now.”
Zarif urged Iran to embrace “a new approach rooted in domestic reform,” warning that “warmongers benefit from closing every window to democracy.”
He called for a shift to a “possibilities paradigm” based on negotiation rather than confrontation.
Hardliners reacted with fury.
‘Delusional’
Outlets close to the Supreme Leader and the Revolutionary Guards — including Kayhan, Javan, and Vatan Emrooz — denounced the proposals as treasonous, delusional, and "capitulation" to the West.
Zarif was labeled an “anti-resistance liberal” who welcomed US and Israeli aggression as “blessings in disguise.”
Hardline commentator Abdollah Ganji accused moderates of “prioritizing personal power over national interests,” while Kayhan’s chief and supreme leader appointee Hossein Shariatmadari charged they were “ignoring global power dynamics.”
The clash comes as economic strain, political discontent, and renewed external pressure after the war with Israel sharpen the stakes for both camps.
‘Will of the people’
In recent weeks, former prime minister Mir-Hossein Mousavi and allies have issued open letters demanding democracy, while the Reform Front — an umbrella group of moderate and reformist figures — called for measures including suspension of uranium enrichment.
Former president Hassan Rouhani has also weighed in, advocating a “national strategy based on the will of the people.”
Beyond politicians, 180 economists urged a reordering of “Iran’s economic and political paradigms,” and 78 former diplomats pressed for a foreign policy more in tune with public sentiment.
The apparently concerted effort has been met by increasingly harsh reactions from the opposite camp.
In parliament, ultraconservatives such as Amir Hossein Sabeti and Hamid Rasai insisted the Islamic Republic must rely on resistance, not diplomacy, to survive.
Ganji also went after Rouhani personally, reminding readers that he once called for executing monarchy-era army officers in 1979, and warning he could “ultimately betray the revolution” like some of the Prophet’s disciples.
The battle is likely to intensify as pressure mounts, with the looming prospect of UN sanctions snapping back into place, the shadow of another war with Israel, and growing public frustration at home.
But as the reformist outlet Rouydad24 concluded, the exchanges have left “conservatives enraged, reformists uncertain, and the idea of national reconciliation in a state of lull.”
Iran’s capital and several provinces will see a full-day closure of government offices due to a worsening electricity crisis, officials said Monday.
The Tehran governor’s office confirmed all provincial offices will close on Saturday, August 23, as part of energy conservation measures.
The Tehran Electricity Distribution Company also said power would be cut to 100 high-consumption government offices. Provinces including Kerman and North Khorasan declared they would shut down on the same day.
Iranian media reported that the shortages are crippling industrial production and disrupting communications and internet services.
Industry at a standstill
“Units operating three shifts have lost nearly half their shifts entirely," Iran's trade chamber chief Arman Khaleghi told ISNA. "Overall, industries have lost 30 to 60 percent of their production capacity solely due to power shortages."
Khaleghi urged officials to adopt policies of engagement to ease sanctions pressure.
“The country must either engage with the world and leverage regional and international opportunities, or continue oscillating between selling resources to neighbors and importing from them.
This path is neither sustainable nor befitting Iran's economy,” he said.
'Expect internet outages'
The crisis has also taken a toll on daily life.
Dozens of citizens have reported internet disruptions, outages, and slowdowns in recent weeks, compounding the strain from inflation, unemployment, and shortages of power and water.
“We should expect that in the near future, just as we have daily power outages, we’ll also face three-hour daily internet outages,” warned Alireza Rafiei, head of mobile operator Irancell.
He said electricity shortages have rendered backup batteries ineffective, leading to frequent service breakdowns.
“Batteries aren't a viable solution for recurring power cuts, and with such frequent outages, we often can't recharge them. Two hours of daily outages equate to 2 percent of sites being offline 24/7, causing significant dissatisfaction,” Rafiei added.
Sanctions, corruption, and economic mismanagement have deepened the crisis, with Iran’s rial losing more than 90 percent of its value since U.S. sanctions were reimposed in 2018.
The state funeral of renowned miniature artist and "national treasure" Mahmoud Farshchian drew large crowds in Isfahan on Monday, reigniting heated debates on Persian social media over the notion of “state-affiliated artists.”
Farshchian, 95, passed away on August 9 in Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey, where he had lived since 1983. His body was returned to his hometown for burial beside the poet Saeb Tabrizi, in accordance with his wishes.
At the funeral, mourners filled the streets as Farshchian’s coffin was carried from the Conservatory of Fine Arts. Culture Minister Seyyed Abbas Salehi praised him as both a “sage of artists” and a creative genius who gave “a special color and flavor to Iranian art.” President Masoud Pezeshkian also issued condolences, underscoring his stature as a national figure.
The tributes highlighted Farshchian’s towering legacy, even as questions over his relationship with the Islamic Republic continue to spark controversy online.
Asr-e Ashura (Evening of Ashura) by Mahmoud Farshchian
Public reactions
On social media, responses ranged from praise to condemnation.
“He held the hands of those from whose hand the blood of the country’s youth flowed,” one post on X read. “The people’s historical memory never fades. We will neither forgive nor forget.”
“Without a doubt, the Islamic Republic used him for its propaganda, and sadly, he complied and showed no resistance,” another user wrote.
Others defended him: “Farshchian has painted several panels from the Shahnameh, each more beautiful than the other. His beliefs are his own. We don’t have the right to question his art even if we assume he was a government-affiliated artist. Leonardo da Vinci and Michelangelo were also court artists, serving the monarchy and the Christian Church.”
Panel depicting a scene from Shahnameh, Iran's national epic
Themes in Farshchian’s work
His miniatures often explore Shiite traditions, while others interpret Persian literature, including the national epic Shahnameh. He also designed new metal lattice enclosures for Shiite shrines in Mashhad and Karbala.
Farshchian’s works are on permanent display at a museum named after him in Tehran’s Saadabad Palace.
Iran's polarized cultural landscape
Collaboration or opposition to the state carries heavy personal and professional consequences in Iran.
Artists who work with state entities, like television, are often labeled “state-affiliated” by dissidents and exiled communities, while appearing with political leaders can spark backlash.
A notable case is singer Alireza Eftekhari, whose embrace of the populist President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad during a concert went viral and provoked outrage among critics, resulting in his isolation in the artistic community and loss of his fans.
Conversely, artists challenging the official narrative risk being blacklisted, banned from work, or imprisoned.
One prominent example was the legendary traditional vocalist Mohammad Reza Shajarian.
He performed a song urging security forces to lay down their weapons during the widespread anti-government protests of 2009. This act of defiance drew the ire of authorities.
The state media banned the broadcast of Shajarian’s songs, image, and his name. Even his iconic Ramadan prayer performance—beloved among religious audiences—was permanently removed from radio and television broadcasts, and he was barred from concerts or album releases.
"Curse the Islamic Republic, which always pits the people against each other … Artists like Farshchian or Shajarian—whatever they may have been—were ultimately artists. The Islamic Republic has even violated the very concept of art and the artist," a post on X stated.
Iran’s Reform Front called for major political and nuclear policy shifts, including a voluntary suspension of uranium enrichment, the release of political prisoners and an end to the repression of dissent.
The coalition of 27 reformist organizations, in a statement issued on Sunday, said “Iran’s social fabric was deeply wounded, with public life overshadowed by despair and anxiety.”
“The aftermath of the recent 12-day war with Israel, coupled with runaway inflation, industrial stagnation, the collapse of the national currency and capital flight, had created a more acute risk of economic paralysis than ever before.”
The statement urged the government to declare readiness for suspending enrichment and to accept full International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) monitoring in exchange for the lifting of sanctions.
Such a step, it said, could open the way for “comprehensive, direct negotiations with the United States and normalization of relations.”
It also called on all political forces committed to peaceful reform, inside and outside Iran, to unite around the national interest rather than what it described as “artificial and fruitless dividing lines.”
Reformist leaders echo warnings
Former president Hassan Rouhani and Green Movement leaders Mehdi Karroubi and Mir-Hossein Mousavi had already issued similar warnings.
Rouhani argued that easing tensions with the US was necessary and pressed for a new national strategy centered on development and Iran’s long-term strength.
“There is no way to save the country except for all of us to become servants of the people — to recognize that sovereignty belongs to the people,” moderate outlet Entekhab quoted Rouhani as saying on Thursday. “The Iranian nation owns Iran.”
“If we can improve relations with Europe, our neighbors, and both East and West—even reduce tensions with the United States—and it serves our interests, then why not?” he said. “Not only is there nothing wrong with it, it is our duty and obligation.”
Karroubi said that the ruling system’s policies, including the nuclear program, had driven the country to “the edge of the abyss” and urged a return to the people and structural reform.
'Snapback threat is real'
The Reform Front warned that European moves to trigger the UN’s snapback mechanism were credible and could restore Security Council sanctions, plunging Iran into an even deeper recession.
Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Supreme National Security Council Secretary Ali Larijani both said last week that the Islamic Republic prefers the path of peace and is determined to block the Europeans' bid to reinstate the UN sanctions via the so-called snapback mechanism.
Britain, France and Germany told the UN on August 13 that unless Tehran returned to talks, they were prepared to invoke the measure by the end of the month.
An 11-point roadmap and hardline backlash
The reformist coalition outlined an 11-point roadmap for both domestic and foreign policy reforms. Chief among them were amnesty and pardons for political prisoners, lifting the house arrest of Green Movement Leaders Mir-Hossein Mousavi and Zahra Rahnavard, removing political restrictions on former president Mohammad Khatami, and ending the suppression of peaceful critics.
It further demanded restoring government authority by eliminating parallel institutions, returning the military to the barracks and curbing their economic and political role, and reducing the pervasive security lens applied to society.
On economic policy, the Reform Front demanded: “Taking the national economy out of the hands of ruling oligarchs, creating equal economic opportunities for all citizens, and providing a framework for both domestic and foreign investors.”
On foreign policy, the group advocated a pivot toward national reconciliation and regional cooperation, positioning reconciliation with neighbors as a basis for stability and sustainable peace.
Hardliner backlash
The statement provoked an angry backlash from hardline outlets. Kayhan daily, overseen by the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, accused the Reform Front of aligning itself with Western powers.
“The text, substance, and content of the Reform Front’s statements are aligned, identical, and consistent with the interests of the Western front — namely the governments of Europe, the United States, and Israel,” wrote Kayhan.
“The unfinished plan of Israel and the United States to eliminate the Islamic system continues with the assistance and efforts of the Western-oriented front and the leaders of sedition in Iran; in such a way that Israel’s failure to achieve its goals during the 12-day war is being compensated through the activities of those claiming to be reformists.”
The IRGC-affiliated Fars News Agency echoed those criticisms, labeling the document a “charter of submission to foreign enemies.”
“Evidence and analysis show that the content of the statement repeats demands that directly align with the long-term goals of the United States and the Zionist regime, and this alignment could be a sign of ideological or operational dependence,” Fars added.
Iran may be heading into even greater financial strain as fresh data points to a worsening outlook for global oil markets, threatening the country’s most vital source of revenue.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) says global demand in 2025 will grow by less than 700,000 barrels per day (bpd), while supply is set to rise by 2.5 million bpd— leaving a surplus of more than 1.8 million bpd.
The imbalance will likely push prices down, with the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasting Brent crude to average just $51 in 2026.
Already under heavy US sanctions and burdened by chronic budget deficits, Tehran now faces the prospect of falling oil prices and growing supply gluts.
Iran would need oil at roughly $164 per barrel to balance its budget this year and next, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
‘Little hope for growth’
Iran exported around 2.5 million bpd of crude and condensates before the Trump administration withdrew from the 2015 nuclear deal and reimposed sanctions in 2018.
That figure has dropped to about 1.6 million bpd in the first seven months of this year, based on Kpler data—nearly 90% bound for China.
Homayoun Falakshahi, a senior analyst at Kpler, told Iran International that even a lifting of sanctions would do little to improve Tehran’s export capacity.
“Falling reservoir pressure and surging domestic consumption mean any meaningful growth in exports is unlikely,” he said.
Iran’s domestic consumption has climbed by around 400,000 bpd since the return of US sanctions. Around 80% of output comes from aging fields that lose 5–8% annually, with little new capacity developed in recent years.
Deeper discounts, mounting debt
Iran’s reliance on small independent Chinese refiners, or “teapots,” leaves it vulnerable to price shifts.
These buyers already demand steep discounts, and the IEA projects global markets will face an additional surplus of 1.2 million bpd in 2026.
Such a glut—the deepest since the COVID-19 collapse—will make sanctioned oil harder to sell. Tehran is likely to be forced into offering even deeper discounts, further eroding revenues.
With crude still the backbone of government revenue, lower export earnings will aggravate Tehran’s fiscal crisis.
IMF data shows public debt has soared 85-fold since 2011, reaching $150 billion roughly—or 37% of Iran’s GDP.
The IMF projects debt will reach nearly 42% of GDP in 2026 and exceed 45% by 2030.
Amid deteriorating ties with Europe and the looming threat of another war with Israel, Iran’s president Masoud Pezeshkian is under mounting attack from Tehran’s hardliners, who question both his competence and his political judgment.
Leading ultraconservative cleric and MP Hamid Rasai, pushing for a parliamentary probe into the president’s performance, seized on Pezeshkian’s recent comments about the Zangezur corridor and his remark that Iran has no choice but to negotiate with the United States.
“Critics say raising the issue of Pezeshkian’s political inadequacy in the midst of two wars is against expediency!” he wrote on X on August 13.
“The session that led to the disqualification and ousting of Iran’s first president, Abolhassan Banisadr, was also held during the 1980s war with Iraq.”
Rasai, who believes another confrontation with Israel is imminent, argued that while Pezeshkian is “not a traitor like Banisadr,” he is “ignorant of his responsibilities” and equally damaging to the system. “If he doesn’t take the initiative himself,” Rasai added, “let’s not deceive ourselves.”
Some social media users urged Rasai to voice such criticisms in parliament rather than online, while others attacked his own legitimacy, noting he was elected with just 4% of the vote compared with the far higher turnouts of MPs who impeached Banisadr.
Moderates join the fray
Even figures from Iran’s moderate camp are voicing disillusionment.
Ali Mohammad Namazi told conservative outlet Nameh News that Pezeshkian had failed to deliver on his 2024 campaign pledge to lift sanctions, re-engage with the world, and revive the economy.
Namazi said the president’s promise to form an active government from across the political spectrum instead produced “a cabinet of mediocre ministers” with “no outstanding economic or political figures.”
He added that industrial activity had stalled under budget constraints, energy and water shortages, and a lack of investment — leaving households waiting for sanctions relief to meet basic needs.
“Pezeshkian’s most important political promise was to hold talks with the West to lift sanctions and boost oil revenues,” Namazi said. “Not only did that not materialize, but even the negotiations expected to bear fruit within two months were halted following a damning IAEA report and a resolution tabled by Germany, France, and the United Kingdom.”
A systemic crisis
The intensifying criticism — from across Iran’s political spectrum — comes as the country faces the possible snapback of all UN sanctions, a blow that could sever its economic lifeline.
Hardliners like Rasai frame the moment as a prelude to war; moderates like Namazi see a presidency adrift.
For many Iranians online, however, the attacks only underline a deeper reality: the country’s troubles lie in a rigid political system that no president alone can fix.